In-Game Win Probability



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Anon said...
Jonathan, you forgot the sarcasm symbol.

Tyler said...
No, the Patriots were around the 25 yard line. They attempted a 42 yard field goal to win it. According to the stats, this attempt is successful only about 70% of the time. The Pats made some foolish strategic choices at the end of the game. Those choices (and some not-very-good officiating) cost them the game.

Jonathan said...
There's a mistake in this model. The Patriots were in field goal range, so they must have made it.