Advanced NFL Stats Win Probability

BLT	34
SF	31
Final

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Green Bay Packers Offense

QB	WPA	EPA	SR(%)	Cmp%	PassYds	Sk	Int	AYPA
A.Rodgers	0.49	26.0	54.5	64.9	338	2	0	8.4

RB	WPA	EPA	SR(%)	Att	Yds	YPC	Rec	RecYds
A.Green	-0.03	-3.0	43.5	22	65	3.0	1	8
J.Starks	0.00	-4.0	0.0	5	11	2.2	0	0
J.Kuhn	-0.01	-0.5	0.0	2	6	3.0	0	0

WR/TE	WPA	EPA	SR(%)	YPR	Rec	Yds	Tgts	YPT	CR(%)
J.Nelson	0.27	9.4	58.3	13.4	9	121	12	10.1	75.0
R.Cobb	0.18	7.2	60.0	14.6	7	102	10	10.2	70.0
Ja.Jones	-0.01	3.4	50.0	11.0	3	33	8	4.1	37.5
J.Finley	-0.02	-2.1	20.0	6.0	2	12	5	2.4	40.0
T.Crabtree	0.08	6.1	66.7	31.0	2	62	3	20.7	66.7

O Line	-WPA	-EPA	Sks	Sk Yds	QB Hits	Tkls Loss	RunSR
GB	0.23	-1.1	2	10	4	4	37.5

Houston Texans Offense

QB	WPA	EPA	SR(%)	Cmp%	PassYds	Sk	Int	AYPA
M.Schaub	0.12	3.8	42.1	60.6	232	3	2	3.3
T.Yates	0.00	-2.6	40.0	40.0	23	0	1	-4.4

RB	WPA	EPA	SR(%)	Att	Yds	YPC	Rec	RecYds
A.Foster	-0.01	-2.5	33.3	17	29	1.7	1	12
J.Forsett	-0.01	2.5	37.5	7	47	6.7	1	18
B.Tate	-0.02	0.4	66.7	3	14	4.7	0	0

WR/TE	WPA	EPA	SR(%)	YPR	Rec	Yds	Tgts	YPT	CR(%)
A.Johnson	0.04	4.1	50.0	9.4	8	75	12	6.3	66.7
G.Graham	0.01	0.3	40.0	8.3	3	25	5	5.0	60.0
O.Daniels	0.02	1.5	40.0	15.3	3	46	5	9.2	60.0
K.Martin	0.02	-4.1	33.3	12.0	2	24	6	4.0	33.3
K.Walter	0.12	4.8	75.0	14.0	2	28	4	7.0	50.0

O Line	-WPA	-EPA	Sks	Sk Yds	QB Hits	Tkls Loss	RunSR
HST	0.15	3.6	3	24	3	6	35.7

Green Bay Packers Defense

Defender	+WPA	+EPA	Tkl	Asst	TF	SC	PD	FF	Int
C.Matthews	0.07	2.3	4	0	0.62	6	0	0	0
A.Hawk	0.06	3.1	6	4	1.54	8	0	0	0
J.Worthy	0.05	1.9	3	0	0.70	3	0	0	0
M.Burnett	0.04	0.7	3	3	1.06	3	0	0	0
T.Williams	0.03	0.6	7	1	1.43	2	1	0	0
C.Wilson	0.03	1.5	2	0	0.46	3	1	0	0
B.Jones	0.02	0.6	2	0	0.31	1	0	0	0

Houston Texans Defense

Defender	+WPA	+EPA	Tkl	Asst	TF	SC	PD	FF	Int
J.Watt	0.09	4.2	5	1	1.28	6	0	0	0
G.Quin	0.08	4.1	7	1	1.30	8	2	0	0
B.Reed	0.05	1.9	2	2	0.57	4	0	0	0
K.Jackson	0.03	0.0	2	0	0.33	0	0	0	0
A.Smith	0.01	1.3	2	0	0.43	3	0	0	0
C.Barwin	0.01	1.2	3	0	0.43	2	1	0	0
B.James	0.01	0.6	3	3	0.85	2	0	0	0

This graph and related statistics are explained at the Advanced NFL Stats glossary page.

Refresh comments

James said...
Garrett has the worst last minute drive strategy. It pisses me off.
5:37 in the 3rd qtr

Jay said...
Brian - that's a good point. I had forgotten about the OT rules changing the way that would need to be handled.
8:16 in the 3rd qtr

Brian said...
Jay-The BUF punt in OT was actually smart. The reason is that a missed FG is so costly. It puts ARI in SD with excellent fld pos, while a made FG isn't so great. It just lets ARI respond.
9:24 in the 3rd qtr

Pickle said...
Was that the second snap that Rogers fielded with only his right hand?
10:14 in the 3rd qtr

Pickle said...
Sounds like a column to me!
12:44 in the 3rd qtr

Jay said...
Seems like there have been several odd coaching choices this week. Houston not taking the time out there, Green Bay taking the time out there, Buffalo punting from the opponent's side of the field on OT...

Brian said...
The big problem I have with DAL is Garrett's clock management. This is not the first game he's potentially cost his team by not being aggressive on the outskirts of FG att range. I think he needs to separate head coaching from O coord duties.
3:03 in the 2nd qtr

Brian said...
Pickle-If BAL failed on the 2pt conv, they're only up 7. In that situation, if you think the play is >.50 then you do it. If you think it's a <.50 proposition you kick the XP.
7:34 in the 2nd qtr

Pickle said...
This is off-topic, but can we talk about what a bad decision it was by the Ravens to not go for two on their last score against the Cowboys?
13:32 in the 2nd qtr

G said...
kicking from the 50 and not an onside kick.
5:16 in the 1st qtr

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