Create Advanced Stats Boxscore
QBWPAEPASR(%)Cmp%PassYdsSkIntAYPA
D.Brees-0.18-9.640.960.5147103.7
RBWPAEPASR(%)AttYdsYPCRecRecYds
M.Ingram0.00-2.425.08222.800
P.Thomas0.01-1.744.4400.0421
D.Sproles0.011.654.53113.7732
WR/TEWPAEPASR(%)YPRRecYdsTgtsYPTCR(%)
M.Colston0.01-0.644.46.842773.957.1
J.Graham0.03-2.833.314.034294.733.3
L.Moore0.001.3100.06.021226.0100.0
K.Stills0.01-1.20.03.01321.550.0
R.Meachem-0.03-0.933.37.01732.333.3
O Line-WPA-EPASksSk YdsQB HitsTkls LossRunSR
NO0.07-5.1136237.5
QBWPAEPASR(%)Cmp%PassYdsSkIntAYPA
R.Wilson0.3218.754.873.3310109.7
RBWPAEPASR(%)AttYdsYPCRecRecYds
M.Lynch-0.08-3.730.016452.8312
R.Turbin0.02-0.127.311343.100
D.Coleman0.00-0.433.3231.518
WR/TEWPAEPASR(%)YPRRecYdsTgtsYPTCR(%)
Z.Miller0.116.350.017.2586810.862.5
G.Tate0.113.760.011.344559.080.0
D.Baldwin0.107.083.319.3477515.480.0
J.Kearse0.021.866.713.022638.766.7
L.Willson0.00-1.10.02.01212.0100.0
O Line-WPA-EPASksSk YdsQB HitsTkls LossRunSR
SEA0.25-0.2001134.2

Defender+WPA+EPATklAsstTFSCPDFFInt
M.Jenkins0.075.0 731.325000
C.Lofton0.064.0 661.3810000
J.Galette0.042.1 230.585000
B.Bunkley0.030.9 000.001000
K.Vaccaro0.034.0 631.196010
R.Humber0.020.5 110.231000
C.Jordan0.012.3 120.524100

Defender+WPA+EPATklAsstTFSCPDFFInt
M.Bennett0.2211.5 110.536000
C.Avril0.216.2 100.261010
R.Sherman0.051.9 300.612200
B.Mebane0.041.6 110.612000
K.Wright0.032.5 421.054100
B.Wagner0.024.3 471.928100
K.Chancellor0.010.7 331.201000


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Actichrurcerm said...
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qrzlzxwqt said...
screen.6.
1:49 in the 4th qtr

JD said...
Ahh, that makes more sense.
12:18 in the 4th qtr

James said...
I think he meant "switching balls", as in they put a K-ball out on the field thinking the Saints were going to kick, then had to switch it back.
13:47 in the 4th qtr

JD said...
What the heck did the ref just say? Something about stretching balls?
14:00 in the 4th qtr

JD said...
Yeah, I'm listening to it on the radio in Washington, so lucky plays are turned into "amazing!" plays. As far as Seattle getting away with contact: it's possible, but they also have the 2nd most penalties in the NFL right now, so it's not as if they don't get hurt in this area.
15:00 in the 4th qtr

ilikeflowers said...
The Saints are fortunate to have scored at all. That one drive was just dumb penalties on Seattle. I only saw one lucky bounce on a pass and that was the touchdown (which should have been caught by the first receiver anyways). Seattle is getting better as they get healthy and NO is just overmatched tonight.
15:00 in the 4th qtr

James said...
I'd also say Seattle gets away with a lot more contact on defense than other teams (cue the Cardinals fans complaining here). Still though - Russell is making some GREAT throws and finding guys wide open downfield. I also thought we were past the point of defenses being caught completely off guard by the read-option.
2:32 in the 3rd qtr

James said...
I'd also say Seattle gets away with a lot more contact on defense than other teams (cue the Cardinals fans complaining here). Still though - Russell is making some GREAT throws and finding guys wide open downfield. I also thought we were past the point of defenses being caught completely off guard by the read-option.
2:32 in the 3rd qtr

James said...
JD - The Seahawks are certainly playing really well, no doubt about that. I'd say they are lucky to be up by 27 instead of around 14 points just because every 50/50 ball is caught by the Hawks but hits the hands of the Saints and pops out. It's almost comical, especially after that last Seattle TD.
3:06 in the 3rd qtr

BB said...
Everything is going Seattle's way tonight.
6:16 in the 3rd qtr

JD said...
33-7 against one of the best teams in the NFL is more than just luck. Albeit I am listening to the game on the radio, so I haven't been able to see how "lucky" some of their plays have been.
7:07 in the 3rd qtr

T said...
Quite good but also very lucky. Officiating has been part of that, but the bounce for TD just now is as lucky a play as you'll see. Nonetheless they have put pressure on Brees and Wilson has been precise nearly all the time and looks speedier than the NO defense.
7:07 in the 3rd qtr

James said...
The Seahawks have been absurdly lucky tonight.
7:52 in the 3rd qtr

T said...
That was a hell of a drive.
0:13 in the 2nd qtr

T said...
Where does "patented" rank on the list of overused words by sports commentators?
2:19 in the 2nd qtr

Viktor said...
I would love to see a coach who ALWAYS goes for 2-points, and doesnt go for fieldgoal inside the opp 15! Practice it and do it!
3:41 in the 2nd qtr

JD said...
Yeah, the FG was a bad move (probably the number one phrase in advanced NFL stats forums).
3:41 in the 2nd qtr

t said...
go for it 3.49 to 2.58 EPA
3:49 in the 2nd qtr

JD said...
Yeah, but advantageous interceptions don't fully account for being ranked as one of the best defensive teams in advanced statistics. And Kaepernick doesn't throw that many interceptions.
5:12 in the 2nd qtr

Josh said...
When the Lions have a physcial defense, they're defense is "dirty" or "thuggish." But yeah, Schaub looks even worse considering how well his backup has played and what a nice deep-passing game he brings.
5:34 in the 2nd qtr

T said...
Yes Josh I was kidding about Schaub but he isn't the starter any more.... and that is almost exactly what I meant about the physicality of the Seahawk defense.
7:25 in the 2nd qtr

Josh said...
The eye-test also reveals Sherman (and the rest) constantly holding on most every pass play. But yeah, the small 6-game sample size makes Schaub look horrible, but most all of his previous seasons show him to be a somewhat above-average QB.
7:54 in the 2nd qtr

T said...
The eye test still shows them to be a very good defense. And I have no data to support, but it sure looks like they get away with as much as any team in terms of "using their size, strength, and physicality to reroute in the secondary" (read: manhandling receivers).
8:02 in the 2nd qtr

T said...
Good point. But, let's not confuse Matt Schaub the INT machine (he of the umpteen consecutive pick-six games) with an NFL starter!
8:45 in the 2nd qtr

Josh said...
Lets also look at who Seattle has intercepted: Kaepernick -3, Henne -2, Schaub -2, Fitzpatrick -2, Palmer -2, Clemens -2, Ponder/Cassel -3. Almost all of them against young QBs (who tend to throw a lot of INTs) or backups (again, guys who tend to throw a lot of INTs). Seattle basically has 4 INTs against NFL starters (Carson Palmer and Matt Schaub). Their pass defense really is only as good as their relatively poor competition.
8:45 in the 2nd qtr

Josh said...
And Seattle's 4.4% interception rate is bound to regress heavily.
14:07 in the 2nd qtr

Josh said...
Some of the top run defenses this season: Jets, Browns, Giants, and Tampa Bay.
15:00 in the 2nd qtr

Viktor said...
Against the Saints, its a good strategy to run, to take time away from Drew Brees as he is one of the best QB in the league to day.
15:00 in the 2nd qtr

Viktor said...
The defense is where it starts! Defense first in this league, you have to get sacks and stop the run!
1:18 in the 1st qtr

Josh said...
If Seattle has a much larger talent level, they should play a more aggressive offensive game - the fact that they have had a relatively weak schedule and barely beat some terrible teams seems to indicate they may not be as good as advertised. I do respect Gruden going into TB knowing full well that the team had mounting salary-cap problems and taking that team into the SB.
1:18 in the 1st qtr

T said...
The success must be attributable to the momentum they build forcing the first 3 and out. The next drive was better, resulting in points, and the momentum built, leading to the defensive TD, and spilling over to the offense. #unicornstoothfairyfieldgoalrangemomentum
1:55 in the 1st qtr

Viktor said...
T, yes - Seattle is doing a, close to, perfect job on both sides of the ball - i love the team and the players on this team! I hope Rex Ryan will be a new defensive coach there in 1 or 2 years, to work with that group!
1:55 in the 1st qtr

T said...
Gruden could have a coaching job in a heartbeat if he wanted one. His view makes more sense given that he did win a ring with a defensive team, which makes conventional strategy that favors field position over possession and keep in mind the seattle talent level is just higher than many opponents--in those situations running more (low variance) and sticking to conventional wisdom a little more than the models here usually predict might make sense.
3:13 in the 1st qtr

Josh said...
Still a large number of American commentators think that ANY play by a mobile QB is a 'read-option' play. At least Gruden is smart enough to realize the mistake of that perception and has corrected several play-by-play commentators over the past few weeks.
4:53 in the 1st qtr

Josh said...
Viktor - actually, I watch some Euro-NFL games (Tyrol Riaders!) and also occasionally watch NFL games on Sky Sports.
4:53 in the 1st qtr

Viktor said...
14 / 86 because of a 10 point deficit in first quarter? The WP is waaaaaaaaaaay off :D
4:53 in the 1st qtr

Viktor said...
Josh! If you think american commentators are wrong and say weird things - try living in Denmark, where they can't pronounce the players names and get surprisses like "OMG WHAT IS THAAAAAT!!!" when a team plays read-option or screen plays... *sigh*
6:27 in the 1st qtr

Josh said...
Gruden, "the lifeblood of the Seattle gameplan is the turnover ratio." Good thing Seattle is basing their play on such predictive statistics.
6:27 in the 1st qtr

Josh said...
Gruden, "Seattle runs the ball more than they throw it and they are proud of that, and I would be too." Probably why he no longer coaches professional football...
12:57 in the 1st qtr